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04-24-23 01:43 AM
Acmlm's Board - I3 Archive - - Posts by Arwon
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Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 08-21-06 11:15 AM, in An intruder has entered your home. How quickly can you have a weapon in your hands? Link
Personally, I rely on the fact that it is impossible to find an entrance to where I live...
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 08-31-06 11:36 PM, in American Dream Link
The Economist newspaper has been on about this repeatedly for a few years, I've read many an article from them that basically say that the welfare states of northern and western Europe are actually more meritocratic than the US, there's far more social mobility, especially for the poor.

More specifically, middle class mobility is similar everywhere, but at the bottom the Nordic countries and to a lesser extent Britain and others have far greater mobility.


Yet the curious thing is that European society—at least in the Nordic countries—is far less stable than America's. Two new research papers confirm that, if one compares the incomes of children with those of their parents, or considers how long people in one income group stay there, Nordic countries emerge as far more mobile than America. Britain shows more class stability than its northern neighbours, but it is still a lot closer to them than it is to America.

[...]

The biggest finding of the studies is not, however, about overall social mobility, but about mobility at the bottom. This is the most distinctive feature of Nordic societies, and it is also perhaps the most significant difference with America. Around three-quarters of sons born into the poorest fifth of the population in Nordic countries in the late 1950s had moved out of that category by the time they were in their early 40s. In contrast, only just over half of American men born at the bottom later moved up. This is another respect in which Britain is more like the Nordics than like America: some 70% of its poorest sons escaped from poverty within a generation.

The Nordic countries are distinctive in one further way: the sons born at the bottom (into the poorest fifth) earn roughly the same as those born a rung above them (the second-poorest fifth). In other words, Nordic countries have almost completely snapped the link between the earnings of parents and children at and near the bottom. That is not at all true of America.


Essentially the difference seems to be the education systems, both their quality and evenness. You need something approximating equality of opportunity in terms of school quality, and ability to go to university if you're smart, not just if you can pay. For the first bit, for me, the single biggest problem is that schools get financed based on local property taxes in most parts of America. That's just madness and it leads to a massively varying quality of education.

For the second bit, meritocracy in higher education, it seems that in the last 30 years the place at top universities have been increasingly going to the richest quintile, for a variety of reasons to do with things like places for alumni offspring and the ability of richer parents to be able to help their kids work the application system better.


(edited by Arwon on 08-31-06 10:40 PM)
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-04-06 08:26 AM, in Irwin = dead Link
Sad and freakish.

Unfortunately all the yucks are gonna be like "huh huh it's not surprising he was stupid for being around dangerous animals" which is a bit dumb and, given how bizzare this accident was, not at all accurate.

Originally posted by Eikaridu
This is truly a sad thing that has happened. Australia just lost another icon. I never knew much about him but even so, this is sad. I learnt about this during a convo with a bro on MSN. I know he will be sadly be missed.


You say that like we're losing icons left right and centre.

Also you say it like he was an Australian icon instead of an entertaining diversion.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-04-06 09:05 AM, in Irwin = dead Link
Uh. Right.



Meanwhile, Colin Thiele, author of Storm Boy, also died today. Huh.


(edited by Arwon on 09-04-06 08:09 AM)
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-05-06 07:56 AM, in American Dream Link
That's purely anecdotal evidence, man, and the plural of anecdote is not data.

The statistics are right there in black and white--people at the bottom of the income scale in America, in the aggregate, have less social mobility than in many other countries, because a number of things. Most notable among these is the poor quality of education, and the lack of access to high quality further education. In short, things are stacked against them more than elsewhere. In a land that calls itself the land of opportunity, many people in fact have less opportunity to advance in life than people in the same position in Britain or Sweden.

The point isn't that "some people get ahead anyway" because of course they do, and this occurs in all rich countries. In America seemingly less people at the bottom do get ahead, and it's harder even if you do work hard, and more people at the bottom end would have their hard work rewarded more if certain things changed. And if this occurred, America would be more of the meritocracy it actually prides itself on being.


(edited by Arwon on 09-05-06 07:04 AM)
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-05-06 09:53 PM, in American Dream Link
This, which I already posted, from the Economist:


Yet the curious thing is that European society—at least in the Nordic countries—is far less stable than America's. Two new research papers confirm that, if one compares the incomes of children with those of their parents, or considers how long people in one income group stay there, Nordic countries emerge as far more mobile than America. Britain shows more class stability than its northern neighbours, but it is still a lot closer to them than it is to America.

[...]

The biggest finding of the studies is not, however, about overall social mobility, but about mobility at the bottom. This is the most distinctive feature of Nordic societies, and it is also perhaps the most significant difference with America. Around three-quarters of sons born into the poorest fifth of the population in Nordic countries in the late 1950s had moved out of that category by the time they were in their early 40s. In contrast, only just over half of American men born at the bottom later moved up. This is another respect in which Britain is more like the Nordics than like America: some 70% of its poorest sons escaped from poverty within a generation.

The Nordic countries are distinctive in one further way: the sons born at the bottom (into the poorest fifth) earn roughly the same as those born a rung above them (the second-poorest fifth). In other words, Nordic countries have almost completely snapped the link between the earnings of parents and children at and near the bottom. That is not at all true of America.


One major aspect of the American dream is meritocracy. A key, bedrock element, given America's definition of itself in opposition to the class-based systems of the old world. The idea is that who you are shouldn't matter in terms of what you can achieve. Stories like the Horatio Algers. So I'm using the question of meritocracy as the major dimension of analysis here.

Meritocracy means that what your parents earn and what social class they're in should not matter in terms of your opportunities. The thing with meritocracy, though, is it requires vigilance and clever policy to actually achieve, otherwise the wealthy and powerful tend to protect and advantage their own. And when you look at the relationship of parental and offpsring income, clearly where you're born into the system does matter.

This is not a debate about relative poverty (although some corners of the Appalachians are well below what Americans would consider subsistance), it's a debate about social mobility and meritocracy and equality of opportunity. It's not about whether the people in the lowest quintile have basic essentials, it's about whether they have things like decent educational opportunities and as much hope of climbing the ladder of opportunity and being successful as the middle or upper classes. Anything less than this should disgust a country that prides itself on meritocracy and hard work and self-made men.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-05-06 11:20 PM, in Music in various languages Link
At the moment I'm on a "music in other languages" kick, probably a result of spending a lot of time listening to Spanish language rock like La Portuaria, and Yiddish-language weirdos the Klezmatics, lately.

So yeah I'm looking for good music, in various languages obscure or otherwise... be it Finnish indie rock, Esperanto folk songs, or whatever. I don't like metal and I don't like electronic music but beyond that it's pretty open slather. Surely some of you can help?


(edited by Arwon on 09-05-06 10:26 PM)
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-07-06 12:29 AM, in Music in various languages Link
Originally posted by drjayphd
Sure, it's in English, but the Klezmatics (I think) did a spiffy cover of Woody Guthrie's "Mermaid Avenue" for a tribute album this year. See what happens when you get musical tips from NPR? (Shit, I'm getting old.)

Anyway, Kinky will laser your SOUL. Look up "Mas" if you're wondering where you've heard them before. Spanish... well, not totally electronic, as there's plenty of traditional instrumentation, but they're better than you.


They actually recorded an entire album of Guthrie songs (lyrics he'd never set to music, like the Wilco/Billy Bragg Mermaid Avenue albums) called Wonder Wheel a few weeks ago. I need to try and track it down soon...
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-08-06 09:46 AM, in American Dream Link
I still say one of the central problems of American education is that it's funded from local property taxes. Surely that's pretty much the WORST way to do it.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-09-06 11:53 AM, in Prejudice against the Obese Link
Obesity is one of those things people like to get really judgemental and sanctimonious about and don't realise what preachy, smarmy assholes they're making of themselves. Other things that elicit similar smug tirades are depression, feminism and vegetarianism.


(edited by Arwon on 09-09-06 10:54 AM)
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-11-06 01:00 AM, in Being turned down Link
The big secret is the best way to do that IS to be upfront...
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-14-06 05:11 AM, in Spain Link
According to Wiki: It's a town of 27 000 people in Cádiz province in Andalucía, on the Atlantic coast.

Nice.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-15-06 01:30 PM, in CONFIRMED: Wii dated for Nov. 19th in North America at $249 w/Wii Sports Link
So can someone tell me quickly and briefly how the Nintendo wi-fi system does/will work? I'm not entirely clear. Will I be able to run it through an existing interweb connection using the right network doo-hickeys?

By region free do they mean also PAL/NTSC will work the same? Because otherwise, I'm pretty sure there's been region-free stuff for years... at least among the PAL countries I think there has been.

Also I'm annoyed that the price is A$400 here. I know electronics are always proportionately more expensive here, but still... seems a tad too high. Was hoping for 300 or 350.


(edited by Arwon on 09-15-06 12:31 PM)
(edited by Arwon on 09-15-06 12:33 PM)
(edited by Arwon on 09-15-06 12:35 PM)
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-16-06 04:31 AM, in Terrorism is not a big threat Link
1 - There's not much risk of being killed.
The actual direct risk of being killed by a terrorist is very low. About on par with dying in the bathtub or falling down the stairs. And of course it's much lower than the risk of dying in a car accident.

2 - Terrorist attacks are easy.
They're easy. Anyone with a slight background in engineering or mechanics or access to the internet could do it. If there were an intelligent and massed enemy they would have hit, and hard. September 11 was done with box-cutters. Two guys in a van with a gun terrorised Washington DC for weeks. Some guy mailed anthrax all over the place and was never caught. Your average place of business, bus, school, etc, is so poorly defended that they're easily attacked by anything from bricks to bombs.

One example: Small explosions at a gas station f*ck sh*t up. It would be ridiculously easy for a disciplined group of, say, 50 people, to organised and carry out hundreds of such attacks. And the resulting panic at the rest, and security panic in general, would cause such widespread disorder that it would bring the US economy into serious crisis.

3 - There are very few terrorists.
As established above, it is not hard to orchestrate a decent terrorist attack. Yet they only strike/get caught very occasionally. This is not due to the governments of the world secretly battling a widespread, strong, nebulous threat. This is due to the fact that there are very few people with the will and capability to organise a terrorist attack. The fact that attacks don't occur more speaks to the fact that there are very few terrorists.

4. Anti-terrorist laws are, through any rational analysis, virtually unnecessary.
Virtually all crackdowns on civil liberties and the legal system in the name of security are byproducts of an unjustified panic and populist governments playing to unfounded fears. Shoot-to-kill policies are insane. Internment without trial is nuts. And the "Persecution of Muslims" component is actually contributing to the fanning of the flames as per 5.

5. The war on terror is creating a threat where not much existed. We're giving the jihadists what they want.
After September 11, it would have been easy to ride the wave of revulsion and, with a little cunning, isolate Bin Laden and his tiny organisation as bloodthirsty lone fanatics. He was already something of an unwelcome guest in Afganistan, after all.

Instead we did his job for him. We panicked and complied with bin Laden's wish for a big ole civilisational war. We declared war on something we called "terrorism" but was easily definable as "Islam" to anyone watching from the outside. We declared a crusade against evil. We restored Taliban credibilty in the Muslim world by making them resistance fighters once more, made Iran a sworn enemy, invaded Iraq, persecuted Muslims across the western world, and backed Israel's invasion of Lebanon. We gave them what they wanted. Suddenly every Muslim discontent could claim al Qaeda as their inspiration, and a pan-national jihadist phenomenon was born.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-16-06 01:57 PM, in Terrorism is not a big threat Link
It's a threat, but unless terrorists get nukes, it's not a serious threat to us. It's a threat to our geopolitical interests and to many Islamic countries. I think that's an important distinction to make.

Nightmare scenario is revolutions in Pakistan and Saudi Arabia.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-17-06 11:05 PM, in Terrorism is not a big threat Link
Now Jomb lets not get nuts here. Bear attacks are very real and deadly.

BEARS.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-19-06 12:31 PM, in CONFIRMED: Wii dated for Nov. 19th in North America at $249 w/Wii Sports Link
I wonder if region locking means Australians will get lumped in with Europe or treated as our own little leper colony.

Meh, fuck it, I'm just importing Twilight Princess for my American Gamecube and waiting a few months for the Wii, I think. That region-locking thing is a huge downer, even if I did manage to get the wi-fi connection going.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-20-06 12:36 AM, in Depression and Mental Illness Link
Bipolar disorder, true clinical bipolar disorder, is a frightening thing to behold and it has indeed come to take on a whole other meaning these days.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-22-06 12:37 AM, in Terrorism is not a big threat Link
I think it's more a matter of dialogue with *other* folks so that Al Qaeda remained marginalised fanatics.
Arwon

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Since: 11-18-05
From: Randwick, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Last post: 5909 days
Last view: 5909 days
Posted on 09-22-06 12:58 AM, in Terrorism is not a big threat Link
Yeah I mean that shoulda happened in September 2001, before all this mess.

Bin Laden's plan required the complicity Bush, to help create the bigger impact he was looking for


Terrorism is 10% bang and 90% an echo effect composed of media hysteria, political overkill and kneejerk executive action, usually retribution against some wider group treated as collectively responsible. This response has become 24-hour, seven-day-a-week amplification by the new politico-media complex, especially shrill where the dead are white people. It is this that puts global terror into the bang. While we take ever more extravagant steps to ward off the bangs, we do the opposite with the terrorist aftershock. We turn up its volume. We seem to wallow in fear.

Were I to take my life in my hands this weekend and visit Osama bin Laden's hideout in Wherever-istan, the interview would go something like this. I would ask how things have been for him since 9/11. His reply would be that he had worried at first that America would capitalise on the global revulsion, even among Muslims, and isolate him as a lone fanatic. He was already an "unwelcome guest" among the Afghans, and the Tajiks were out to kill him for the murder of their beloved leader, Ahmed Shah Massoud (which they may yet do). A little western cunning and he would have been in big trouble.

[...]

Bin Laden might boast that he had achieved terrorism's equivalent of an atomic chain reaction: a self-regenerating cycle of outrage and foreign-policy overkill, aided by anniversary journalism and fuelled by the grim scenarios of security lobbyists. He now had only to drop an occasional CD into the offices of al-Jazeera, and Washington and London quaked with fear. The authorities could be reduced to million-dollar hysterics by a phial of nail varnish, a copy of the Qur'an, or a dark-skinned person displaying a watch and a mobile phone.



(edited by Arwon on 09-22-06 12:00 AM)
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Acmlm's Board - I3 Archive - - Posts by Arwon


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